The latest superstar rumors to come to the surface in the 2010 off season involve Denver Nuggets forward Carmelo Anthony. It has been widely publicized that the Nuggets have offered Melo and three year extension worth $65 million. It has also been widely publicized that Melo has decided to nothing with that offer and “take his time”. Anthony taking his time to make his decision pins the Nuggets into a corner, assuming the speculation that he will leave at the end of the year are true. For everyday that he waits on signing that extention his trade value drops ever so slightly. If the Nuggets want to get full value for Carmelo then they need to trade him as soon as possible, because no team is going to give up the farm for a one year rental of Anthony, let alone to acquire him in February. Melo is left with a three options:
1) Agree to sign the extension on the condition he is traded
2) Refuse to sign the extension and force a trade mid year
3) Walk at the end of the year and the Nuggets get nothing in return.
None of these three options benefits the Nuggets in anyway, especially the third option. With the first scenario Melo would have to be traded to a team that he wants to go to, which is presumably the New York Knicks. This scenario gives the Nuggets at best a package of Danilo Gallinari, Wilson Chandler, Eddy Curry and a 2014 first round pick, hardly enough to satisfy the fans. With the second option its possible that Denver could receive a better package from another team in the league, but what team is going to mortgage their future for say four months of Carmelo? I would say none. The third option helps nobody. Denver would get nothing in return for its star, besides a couple of picks in a sign and trade. It’s a nightmare scenario for Denver, especially if he signs with the Knicks. How bad would it look for Denver’s new GM if all he got was a 2014 first round pick for Anthony? From Carmelo’s perspective he can’t afford to sit and wait for free agency, because it is not certain what is going to change in the new CBA, or if their will even be basketball in 2011. Unless the next few CBA meetings go extremely well in the players favor, it wouldn’t be wise for Carmelo to not sign his extension, unless money isn’t the motivation for him which could be the case. If winning or being in New York is the motivation, and he is willing to sacrifice some income, than the extension debate is moot. However you slice it Carmelo and the Nuggets both have some difficult decisions to make in the coming months.
My Prediction: Carmelo signs his extension as part of a trade to the Knicks.
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Written by Anthony Raia