Another week and another variation of the spread offense roles into Boulder as the high flying Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-3, 1-2) invade Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffalos (3-3, 0-2) in what is a must win game for both teams because each team needs to get to six wins to attain bowl eligibility. Each team has a tough remaining schedule that includes a trip to Norman, OK and as a result Saturday’s losing team probably won’t make it to a bowl game this season.
The Buffalos (4-0 all-time against Texas Tech at home) have never lost to the Red Raiders at Folsom Field. They last played each other in 2007 at Texas Tech. CU forced Tech into 4 interceptions and won the game 31-26. The Buffs had no turnovers, only three penalties, and forced four turnovers; in short they played the perfect game and they are going to have to come close to perfection this year if they are going to have a chance to win.
Texas Tech Quarterback Taylor Potts (-28 rushing yards per game (RYPG) won’t beat to many CU defenders in a foot race like Baylor’s Robert Griffin III (137 rushing yards) did against the Buffs. The bad news is Taylor Potts will be slinging the ball all over Folsom Field on Saturday. Potts is the trigger man for the 6th best passing attack in the nation which is the predominant reason the Red Raiders have put up over 35 points in four of their six games.
The good news for the Buffs is teams have averaged 32 points a game (99th nationally) against Texas Tech’s porous defense. The Red Raiders defense has given up 142.5 rushing yards per game and is allowing almost 300 yards a game through the air. While the Buffalo’s offense has been inconsistent they have a good chance of exploding against a defense that can’t stop the run or the pass.
Three Keys to Victory:
1) Score 35 points or more:
Texas Tech has scored at least 35 points in their three wins. Only two teams have held them under 20 points, Texas and Oklahoma State and CU’s defense is not up to par with either of them. So, it’s safe to assume Taylor Potts and company will get a minimum of 30 points against the Buffs. It doesn’t matter how they do it, through the air, on the ground or even by sea, the Buffalo’s have to put up over 35 points.
2) Run “Speedy” Run
Iowa State and Oklahoma State each ran for over 200 yards in wins over Texas Tech. CU tailback Rodney “Speedy” Stewart is averaging 103 RYPG and is coming off a 125 yard effort against Baylor. CU has no one else to run the ball so Stewart will have to put the team on his shoulders.
3) Don’t Turn the Ball Over
Turnovers at key times have killed the Buffs. Will Jefferson’s second half fumble into the end zone probably cost the Buffs a win against Baylor. While the Red Raider defense has not been good, they have excelled in one area, picking off opposing quarterbacks passes. Texas Tech’s secondary has pilfered ten passes in only six games. So, CU quarterback Tyler Hanson will have be careful and not add to his six interception total of the season.
As much as the Colorado Buffalo’s need this win, I don’t see it happening. Coming off a heartbreaking 31-25 loss to Baylor, CU’s depleted secondary must find a way to hold up against Texas Techs relentless passing attack and I don’t think they will. The Buffalos couldn’t stop Baylor’s Robert Griffin III and they won’t be able to slow down Texas Tech’s Taylor Potts. Add in the fact the CU hasn’t scored more that 31 points in a game this year and it equals another loss for the Buffs.
My Prediction Texas Tech wins 42-28
About the Author
Written by Matthew Stiles