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The Hoops Stock Market Volume 2
Posted By Warren Shaw On Nov 25 2010 @ 1:51 pm In Fantasy Basketball | No Comments
It’s the time of year where savvy owners take advantage of their knowledge and make some fantastic coups that will help their teams throughout the rest of the year. Some owners might be feeling a little uneasy about some of their draft decisions as many stars are still in a funk and some other players clearly have no idea who they are and the time is ripe for shipping while the getting is good. (Darko Milicic)
Baron Davis: If you need a guard you would be wise to give Baron a look. If you own Baron you would be wise to sell him upon his return. He is the perfect contradiction for fantasy owners. He made it through a full practice this week and might return as early as tonight (Thanksgiving). It will take some time for him to get his legs back under him and he isn’t a Del Negro favorite at all. Conventional wisdom say his talent should win out and should be fine going forward, but there is nothing conventional about Baron or his relationship with Del Negro. Buy low!
Tyreke Evans: Evans is not exactly playing terribly but he has been less than stellar in his last 3 games by his standards. He has twisted his ankle at least 3 times already this year and is also dealing with a shoulder injury. Reke is tough and will continue to play through these nagging injuries so I don’t think that’s where the concern lies. The problem I see for Reke is coaching. Coaching is my soap box theme for the season incidentally. Paul Westphal has no idea what he is doing with the starting lineup as the Kings have lost 8 of their last 10 games. Reke obviously will continue to get minutes as long as he has healthy but who he is on the floor with does affect his overall stats. The situation is still far from clear but there is no better time to buy low on Tyreke.
Grant Hill: It seems like Grant Hill goes through these stretches at least 3 or 4 times a season where he puts together a string of stellar lines causing owners to scurry to get him in their lineups. Over his last 4 games he is averaging 22pt, 4rebs, and 3ast. He might very well be on waivers but if you happen to own him attempt to move him before he comes back to earth. Sell!
Andre Iguodala: I only mention Iguodala as a courtesy in passing. He came back this week and has posted two stat stuffing lines that his owners have gotten used to over the years. The opportunity to buy low on him is gone but the opportunity to sell high might have just opened if you are concerned about him being healthy all year. He has a strained Achilles and that could flare up at anytime. I say hold but if you are overly cautious sell high.
Joe Johnson: I own Johnson and am stunned at how terrible he has been. His shooting percentage is way down and reportedly he is struggling with an injury to his shooting hand. The same hand he signed that max contract with this summer. He is certainly not earning his money nor has he paid dividends on his draft position in fantasy leagues. Coach Larry Drew has instituted a new offense that practically runs through Josh Smith on the block. Coach Drew has recognized the struggles of Johnson and is going back to some of the plays from last year to help Johnson get it going. J.J. is a lot better than he has been showing and the Hawks need his production to have any chance at competing with the Eastern Conference best. He is an excellent buy low and laugh later candidate.
Chris Kaman: Captain Kaaaaamaaan is due back next week. He was a bit inconsistent to start the season trying to ascertain his role alongside man child Blake Griffin. There is no question the Clippers are better off with Kaman manning the center position and De’Andre Jordan coming off the bench. Chances are Kaman owners who have waited this long will want to wait it out but you never know. Buy low.
OJ Mayo: Mayo’s name is far greater than his actual worth. After making a splash in his rookie season Mayo has been nothing more than a low end 3rd guard over the last two seasons. You can thank Zach Randolph and Rudy Gay for that. Now after being late to a shoot around, he has been regulated to a 6th man role off the Grizzly bench. It can’t get much for worse for Mayo right now. This is a situation I would want no part of but owners have to hope he can get it going as a 6th man. I am not convinced that Xavier Henry can really keep Mayo on the bench but that is what Coach Lionel Hollins is selling right now. Hope for a few good lines from Mayo then UPS express ship him out.
JaVale Mcgee: If you believe Mcgee is starting to figure things out on the basketball court then I can’t blame you by the gaudy numbers he has posted in the last week. Where others see the insane numbers I still see the one trick pony Mcgee who still has no semblance of a jump shot. He is going to continue to get serious run and if he can really focus on rebounding and blocking shots he might hold value all year. The Wizards have no depth behind McGee and Blatche however the Wizards do have lots of options on offense, good and proven options. Arenas is still working his way back and Josh Howard looms a few weeks from return. With an offensive repertoire that features nothing but high flying dunks I am hard pressed to endorse Mcgee for the rest of the season. I would be remiss if I didn’t’ mention that John Wall loves lobbing the ball to Mcgee and should continue to get a couple of easy hoops per game based on that alone. Capitalize on his semi-consistent play of over the last week and see if you can acquire a more reliable upgrade…and if not it’s not like he is terrible player to own. Sell high.
Darko Milicic: I don’t trust him. Anybody that David Khan (Timberwolves GM) is convinced is good I am convinced is bad. Kevin Love has had to prove himself time and time again to the T-Wolves coaches and front office and Darko has a had free reign since arriving last year. Given all the minutes he can handle Darko has finally started to really produce. I took a close look at him this week forcing myself to watch to see if I can pick up on what is going on. Darko is a better passer than people give him credit for. He is making “quick” moves around the rim and finishing with ease as defenders are still surprised by his aggressiveness. In no way shape, form, or manner do I think he can continue this level of play; 22pts, 9rebs, 4.7blks, and 3.7ast over his last 3. Somehow I doubt anybody in the world believes he is this good and if you picked him up you might just have to ride him out and drop him when he flops again. I implore you to try, try, and try again to trade him if you are able to. Sell!
Jameer Nelson: Nelson has played extremely well considering his draft position. He is averaging a career high 7.1 assist and is fearless at the end of close games taking many of the Magic’s shots in closing time. I actually had to consider an offer I received that included Jameer and Nene for Joe Johnson. A savvy attempt by my adversary! Float Nelson’s name out there to gauge interest and maybe you can turn a profit in a deal. I don’t see anything wrong with holding either and riding out his improved play.
Shaquille O’neal: The Big Leprechaun has been the beneficiary of Celtic injuries. To his credit he is settling in nicely and has been incredibly efficient in 23 minutes per game. He has double doubled in 2 straight and the Celtics seem to be going to him while he is on the floor. For now it is a nice story to see Shaq playing at a relatively high level, but don’t be a fool of nostalgia. If you happen to own Shaq (probably in a very deep league) sell!
Dorrell Wright: Slowly coming back to earth is the play of Dorrell Wright. The biggest advantage of owning Wright early on was his prolific 3point shooting, unfortunately that has slowed down greatly. David Lee has been missing in action and Wright has strung together a few nice lines. He continues to play big minutes in GSW but is always an injury risk as is the case with just about every Warrior. If healthy he is nice solid all around fantasy player but I think you would be better off selling him. Accentuate the offense he plays in and see if you can get a bite. Sell.
Ok, I am about to go enjoy my Thanksgiving and I wish you all the best this holiday weekend. Stay out of those insane lines and make some trade offers. You just might catch an owner slipping as the pressure of holiday shopping gets to them in reality. Ok maybe that’s a stretch but you never know! Invest wisely my friends! Till the next time.
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