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2011 MLB Preview: Looking at Mat Latos and the San Diego Padres on Paper

Posted By Adrian Fedkiw On Mar 29 2011 @ 8:44 pm In San Diego Padres | 1 Comment

The San Diego Padres led the NL West for 148 days.  A 10-game losing streak near the end of the season bunched the entire division together.  Heading into the final weekend, the Padres needed a three-game sweep against the Giants to force a one-game playoff.  They won the first two, but dropped the third game.

It was a collapse from a team that preseason was supposed to be one of the worst in baseball.

In the offseason, the club took another blow when Adrian Gonzalez was traded to Boston.

In the friendly confines of Petco Park, the Padres find success with effective pitching from the starters and bullpen.  It’s going to be up to the offense to keep San Diego in ballgames.


Christian Petersen/Getty Images

  • C-  Nick Hundley- 7 
  • 1B- Brad Hawpe- 7 
  • 2B- Orlando Hudson- 7 
  • SS- Jason Bartlett- 7.25 
  • 3B- Chase Headley- 7.25


Nick Hundley (27) 273 AB .249 BA 33 R 8 HR 43 RBI 0 SB 

  • With Yorvit Torrealba signing with Texas, Hundley gets the opportunity to start full-time.  He has a long swing which generates some pop.  He’s an okay defender.


Brad Hawpe (31) 298 AB .245 BA 31 R 9 HR 44 RBI 2 SB

  • It’s not going to be easy to replace a hitter and fielder like Adrian Gonzalez.  Hawpe was originally drafted as a first baseman, and then converted into an outfielder.  Hawpe is most likely a one year rental until Kyle Blanks is ready.


Orlando Hudson (33) 497 AB .268 BA 80 R 6 HR 37 RBI 10 SB

  • Hudson is a switch-hitter who has more pop from the right side, but hits for a better average from the left side.  He’s a quick and agile defender who turns the double-play well.


Jason Bartlett (31) 468 AB .254 BA 71 R 4 HR 47 RBI 11 SB

  • Bartlett likes the ball on the outer half, and gets tied up when pitched inside.  He’s a better fielder than he is hitter.  He has very good range.


Chase Headley (26) 610 AB .264 BA 77 R 11 HR 58 RBI 17 SB

  • Padre fans are still waiting for Headley to emerge into a star.  The switch-hitter is better from the left side.  In the field, Headley has good feet and reaction time.  He’s accurate throwing on the move.



  • LF- Ryan Ludwick- 7.25 
  • CF- Cameron Maybin- 7 
  • RF- Will Venable- 7


Ryan Ludwick (32) 490 AB .251 BA 63 R 17 HR 69 RBI 0 SB

  • Ludwick put up huge numbers hitting behind Albert Pujols in St. Louis.  He hit 37 home runs and knocked in 117 RBI two seasons ago.  He’s an ok outfielder with a nice arm.


Cameron Maybin (24) 291 AB .234 BA 46 R 8 HR 28 RBI 9 SB

  • The Padres acquired Maybin in a trade with Florida.  He’s a speedster, but he needs to get on base to utilize it.  He strikes out a ton, but he’s still young.  He uses his speed to make up for his lack of instincts in center.


Will Venable (28) 392 AB .245 BA 60 R 13 HR 51 RBI 29 SB

  • Venable has a nice blend of speed and power.  The former Princeton basketball player likes the fastball, but struggles with the breaking stuff.  He’s a solid right fielder with good range.



  • 1. Mat Latos- 8
  • 2. Clayton Richard- 7.25
  • 3. Aaron Harang- 7
  • 4. Wade LeBlanc- 7
  • 5. Cory Luebke- 7


Mat Latos (23) 185 IP 14-10 2.92 ERA 1.08 WHIP 189 K

  • Latos set a MLB record by making 15 consecutive starts where he allowed two earned runs or less.  He dominated for most of the season, but he tired down the stretch; 0-5 with a 8.18 ERA in his final five starts.  At 6’6″, he’s an imposing figure on the mound.  He has a hard mid 90’s fastball with nice movement.  He also features a hard slider with late bite.  He needs to improve on his curveball or changeup to add another pitch to his repertoire.


Clayton Richard (27) 202 IP 14-9 3.75 ERA 1.41 WHIP 153 K

  • Richard works quickly.  He gets good run and sink with his fastball.  He also has a solid slider, and a curveball which he likes to use early in the count.  He uses a changeup to right handers.


Aaron Harang (32) 112 IP 6-7 5.32 ERA 1.58 WHIP 159 K

  • Harang hasn’t been the same since 2006 and 2007 where he won 16 games in each year. Harang is yet another tall starter in the rotation.  He has good command with his fastball, but the long ball has been the main reason for his decline over recent years.


Wade LeBlanc (26) 146 IP 8-12 4.25 ERA 1.42 WHIP 110 K

  • LeBlanc is a soft tosser who needs to locate in order to succeed.  His cutter and slider are rather similar, and he also mixes in a changeup.


Tim Stauffer (28) 82 IP 6-5 1.85 ERA 1.08 WHIP 61 K

  • The Padres have a couple options for the fifth starting gig.  Stauffer is a former first-round pick who’s battled injuries.  Dustin Mosely and Cory Luebke are the other options.



  • RP- Chad Qualls- 7
  • RP- Joe Thatcher- 7
  • RP- Luke Gregerson- 7.25
  • SU- Mike Adams- 7.75
  • CP- Heath Bell- 8.25


     Chad Qualls, Joe Thatcher, Luke Gregerson

  • With the addition of Chad Qualls, the Padres made an already strong bullpen even stronger.  Gregerson features a long, sweeping slider.


Mike Adams (32) 67 IP 4-1 6 SV 1.75 ERA 1.06 WHIP 73 K

  • Adams is a power reliever who at times has trouble with his command.  He runs his fastball up in the mid 90s.  Like Gregerson, Adams features a long, sweeping slider. 


Heath Bell (33) 70 IP 6-1 47 SV 1.93 ERA 1.20 WHIP 86 K

  • Bell is a strikeout closer.  He challenges and attacks hitters with a mid 90s fastball up in the strike zone.  He mixes in a slurve to complement his fastball.


Sizing up the Padres

Projected Lineup

    1. Will Venable- 7
    2. Orlando Hudson- 7
    3. Chase Headley- 7.25
    4. Ryan Ludwick- 7.25
    5. Brad Hawpe- 7
    6. Jason Bartlett- 7.25
    7. Cameron Maybin- 7 
    8. Nick Hundley- 7


Projected Starting Rotation

  • 1. Mat Latos- 8
  • 2. Clayton Richard- 7.25
  • 3. Aaron Harang- 7
  • 4. Wade LeBlanc- 7
  • 5. Cory Luebke- 7



  • RP- Chad Qualls- 7
  • RP- Joe Thatcher- 7
  • RP- Luke Gregerson- 7.25
  • SU- Mike Adams- 7.75
  • CP- Heath Bell- 8.25


Bench- Kyle Blanks, Everth Cabrera, Aaron Cunningham, Jorge Cantu, Chris Denorfia- 7

Manager- Bud Black 7.25

INF- 35.5

OF- 21.25

SP- 36.25

RP- 7.25

CP- 16

MISC- 14.25

Hitting- 57.75

Pitching- 59.5

TOTAL- 131.5

With such a young starting rotation, a solid and deep bullpen takes the pressure off of them to throw a lot of innings.

While the pitching is going to keep San Diego in games, I don’t think the offense is good enough to win games. 

They’ll be competitive.

Prediction- 81-81 Fourth NL West

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