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Players I’m Going To Avoid

Posted By Spencer Lieberson On Sep 7 2011 @ 9:29 pm In Fantasy Football | 2 Comments

Are you ready for some football? How about some fantasy football? I sure know I am!  Hey guys this is Spencer Lieberson, I am a new writer for ProSports Blogging. With only one day left till the long-awaited kickoff  of the 2011 season, there are still many questions unanswered. Should you draft Peyton Manning? Is Arian Foster’s injury going to linger? Will Chris Johnson’s holdout cause any injuries? In this article, I will discuss some fantasy “studs” that I’m not too high on.

 

Peyton Manning-IND

Lets get the Peyton Manning issue out of the way. Yes, I still consider Peyton Manning a stud. He is by far the most talented QB of the last decade. I would not call Manning a bust, but his value has decreased and he SHOULD NOT be taken earlier than the 4th round. Manning has already been ruled out for Week 1 and who knows how much longer he could be out.  This injury can be attributed to the lockout since Peyton was unable to receive medical attention from the Colt’s doctors. I would consider Manning as medium-risk, high-reward. Bottom line: If healthy, he is top 5, but I would not use him as one of my top 3 picks. If manning is available in the 4th round, I say take a chance. Manning is one of the most durable athletes and is dedicated to keeping himself healthy. When he is back, expect him to be full-force.

UPDATE: According to Jake Query, a radio show host for 1260 WNDE Indianapolis, Peyton Manning is apparently out for the season. Since this is the only report, this could just be another rumor. Regardless, stay away from  Manning within the first four rounds.

 

Arian Foster- HOU

Didn’t see this one coming did you? Look, I really really really like the statistics Arian Foster put up last year, but can he really imitate? In my opinion,  it is going to be extremely tough to come close to last year’s numbers. Before this off season, Foster was arguably the #1 pick in every fantasy draft. At this point in time, I am not sure I would want to even draft him (obviously you should though). Looking at my rankings, I have Adrian Peterson, Chris Johnson, Jamaal Charles, and Ray Rice ahead of him.  Foster is dealing with a lingering hamstring issue and he has been knocked up a few times before. During his college career at Tennessee, Foster had a torn meniscus and an injured shoulder his freshman year, an ankle injury that kept him out most of his sophomore year, followed by ANOTHER knee injury going into his junior year. Foster played through both knee injuries during his freshman and junior years. Does this sound familiar? Hmmmmm……In Foster’s only good year, he played through a left knee injury which required cartilage surgery this past off season. On top of all that , he has hamstring issues that have hobbled him twice during training camps, and possibly into the season. Bottom line: Foster clearly has the talent, but with all of the injury issues surrounding him currently, and his history, I would not use a top 4 pick on him.  The Texans drafted Ben Tate  for a reason last year, and it seems like Derrick Ward is making his case for the backup role as well . If Foster is available after the 4th pick, draft with confidence. But, be prepared for him to sit out at some point this year (hopefully for his sake I am wrong).  Make sure to get Foster’s handcuff!

 

Michael Turner-ATL

Would not consider Turner a true “stud”, but he is someone that needs to be highlighted.  Some sites have Turner ranked as high as #7 RB…..WRONG. Even though Michael Turner has been a beast over the past 3 seasons rushing for 3,941 yards and 39 touchdowns, he also has 889 touches-377 in 2008, 178 in 2009, and 334 in 2009. At 29 years old, he is ending his prime and has put a lot of miles on his legs in such a short time. According to the Football Outsiders, “The average running back with 370 or more regular-season carries, or 390 including the postseason, will see their rushing yardage decline by 35 percent, and their yards per carry decline by eight percent. 370 carries is roughly the point at which additional carries start to become more and more of a problem”.  After Turner’s career year and a playoff run, he missed almost half of the season. Bottom line: Turner bounced back last season, but do you really want him as your #1 RB? He is becoming an old man in running back years and should expect less touches this year. If he is available  in the 2nd round, go for him.

 

Brandon Lloyd-DEN

Lloyd put up some nasty numbers last year but I just don’t see it happening again. Kyle Orton is still in Denver which helps Brandon Lloyd’s chances, but it is hard to trust a guy who- other than last year- has been nonexistant in fantasy football since 2005. Other than Lloyd’s 3 year tenure in San Francisco, he has done nothing! Bottom line: There is no doubting the potential Lloyd offers, but is he just another journeyman?  He’s already 30 and is on a less than stellar offense.

Hope this helps. More to come!

Look for my sleeper of the day tomorrow!

 

 

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