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NFL ’13 Wild Card Picks

NFL ’13 Wild Card Picks

The Whole Nine Yards

That’s what stood between Adrian Peterson and sport immortality in Sunday’s contest vs Green Bay (MIN 37-34). Nine yards and Adrian owns the single-season rush-record (ED / 2105) and goes to head of the MVP line, besting Peyton and a closing fast Rodgers. As it stands, Pey-dirt will win his fifth AP award because voters love QBs and his team’s spiffy W-L record (13-3). Aaron may be NFL’s best, surviving a leaky O-line (51S) and gamey run fare (20), but key loses throughout ‘12 will keep AR from winning this MVP race.

As for Adrian coming up short, Eric wants the record for the son. That’s nice…and near 90% hogwash. Packers taking pride in ‘holding’ All-Day to 199 is like saving your favorite golf club in a tornado that just took your house, or like Jake LaMotta chiding Sugar Ray for not putting him down while the raging bull’s eye hangs out of its socket. Sure Jake, whatever.

“Sometimes nothing can be a real cool hand (“Luke“),” Mr. Peterson. You da’ man.

Rainy Days & Mondays

Keenest coach cut: Bears’ Lovie Smith. Leaving Jay Cutler in after the wicked, violative hit he suffered vs Houston (Wk10 / Dobbins) showed this soft-spoken man had his priorities skewed.

Golden Rule coach cut: Cards’ Ken Whisenhunt. KW broke #1 rule in QB league when he failed to protect his signal-callers (58S), then had the back-up blues (Skelton / Lindley).

Best coach keeper: Rex Ryan. Unless Jets, who appear ready to move Sanchez, somehow land top-quality QB in off-season, things probably won’t improve much in NYJ come 2013. But Rex provides continuity and keeps things light. Besides, the Tebow fiasco (Tim deserved better) has Jets’ owner Woody Johnson’s finger prints all over it.

Cheese-flavored Karma

While it won’t make-up for getting the “fuzzy end of the lolly-pop (Marilyn)” in Wk-3 vs Seattle (“simultaneous catch”), the football fairies were keeping watch over GB in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. Rather than having an automatic review quashed for a challenge-flag faux pas after a 3Q scoring play, a fate which befell Detroit in their T-Day loss to Houston, the Packers profit from the resulting rule change and suffer only an unsportsmanlike penalty. Feel better now, Packerland? Dumb question.

Applying for Membership

It just might be the most exclusive club in America, harder to get into than even Skull & Bones, that secret fraternity W. and John Kerry are reportedly members in. Good god.

Money, fine credit rating, great wardrobe, huge Facebook following, even a call from Tony Soprano won’t cut you a key for this guild. You can only get in the “old-fashioned way, you eaaaaaarn it (Houseman).”

The heading above the door reads, ‘Elite Quarterback Club.’

You needn’t win a Super Bowl to be elite, which explains why Mr. Marino, Tarkenton, Moon and Jim Kelly have all been seen frequenting the premises. Fran practically lives there, still bending anyone’s ear who’ll listen to his rants on Brett Favre going purple.

But then triumphs like taking a title or getting a bronze bust are no golden-ticket for EQC membership, either. Super Bowls are won largely in the trenches and HOFs have become feel-good facilitators, Halls of Good n’ Plenty and no longer repositories of only the great.

So, what is the standard for an elite QB? Who can really say. Plenty try, but suffice to say, when the elite quarterback’s name is spoken, you’ll know it.

Today’s active membership includes Tom Brady, Peyton and Eli Manning, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger and Aaron Rodgers. McNabb & Matt Hasselbeck came close.

Three quarterbacks in this year’s NFL playoff field have applications pending: Falcons’ Matt Ryan, Texans’ Matt Schaub and Baltimore’s Joe Flacco (half the field is too wet-behind-the-ears to be applying for EQC just yet). All three have shown enough to get their application fast-tracked if any of ’em happens to grab hold of that brass-ring this playoff run.

Wild Card Picks

Cincinnati Bengals (10-6) @ Houston Texans (12-4) (1-5 / NBC 4:30)

Two lackluster acts to end the season (PIT / BAL), even in victory, is poor sign for Cincy who looked to be rising, while Texans are 1-3 last four. The Yawner Bowl? Nyet. Try Balance Bowl as both squads usually play both sides like it matters. TFD, TOP and sack ratios (44+ / 28-) favor Texans, and then there’s Foster, Johnson, Watt & Schaub. Houston wins.

Minnesota Vikings (10-6) @ Green Bay Packers (11-5) (NBC 8:00)

Next to health nothing matters more than momentum entering PS. Minnesota has it with 4-0 closing argument and then the whole record / MVP thing has ‘em energized. If Vikes want cake they must rock Aaron’s world in pressure (Allen), cover scheme and get clean-play from Ponder. GB won’t scare like years past but will control air space over low flying MIN (O31 / D24) and Cobb / Woodson suit up. Vikings have AP & Walsh (K), Packers have AR & Jennings. G-Bay wins.

Indianapolis Colts (11-5) @ Baltimore Ravens (10-6) (1-6 / CBS 1:00)

If you believe in momentum & karma, this one’s clear. Indy takes M&T field the winners in 5 of last 6 while BAL is 1-4. That’s the energy. The bad karma, that’s John Harbaugh sitting starters in finale vs Bengals. Two schools: one likes the risk-reduction & rest (JH & McCarthy), the other likes the rhythm, practice and fans. Flacco has the experience but Luck is riding high, especially now that his alma mater (Stanford) has won the amateur college FBS D1 title, edging out Northwestern. Colts win.

Seattle Seahawks (11-5) @ Washington Redskins (10-6) (Fox 4:30)

Next week AFC stars come out, this weekend the NFC has showcase match-ups with this one big on curiosity-factor. Misters Griffin & Wilson have the kids all in a tizzy with late season surges. Both QBs distribute well while Russ a bit less likely to rabbit, giving SEA more options. Stars Morris & Lynch cancel each other out, both teams field top tackle-corps but Hawks get edge in pass-D (30 vs 6) and crafty Carroll. Seattle plays into Rd-2.

Steven Keys

NFL Hunch Line

Photo Credit: “Rummy” / Adamt / wc.cc / 2-14-10

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A native of the old Northwest Territory (IL), my wife and I have lived in four Midwestern states and Arizona. Today we live in Duluth, Georgia. I have a history / legal background.


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8 Comments

In response to “NFL ’13 Wild Card Picks”


  1. Rob Jan 3 20136:25 pm

    Reply

    Only 2 words really count when you are talking about this game. A….P.

    If the Pack can at least keep Peterson under 125 yards, I see them pulling this game out by 10, 27-17. In Lambeau I see Green Bay getting the “W”.
    ———————————————
    The Texans are one of the worst number one seeds in recent memory.

    Besides the Broncos the Bengals could be the hottest team in the AFC.

    I look for them to win this one 20-14.

    sportrantman.com

    1. Steven Keys Jan 3 20137:39 pm

      Reply

      MIN v GB:

      Adrian’s gonna’ get his yards, churning out 210 in loss at Lambeau Week 13 (14-23), and you know Rodgers will put up 300+ and TD tosses, like he did in loss at Minnesota last Sunday.

      WTW: Ponder and matriculation, and then MIN secondary’s ability to stymie AR & Jennings enough to keep it close, especially with All-Pro Winfield hand-hobbled. The pressure guys could make a difference too, Matthews & Allen.

      It’s gonna’ be frigid, so watch for T/Os.

      Thanks for reading & comment, Rob.

  2. Steve Massey Jan 4 20131:58 pm

    Reply

    Awaiting moderation, huh, what?

  3. Steve Massey Jan 4 20131:59 pm

    Reply

    Steven, great peice. We do seem to have a failure to communicate on the EQC however; if Phil Rivers didn’t gain acceptence for his play from 2008-2010, then Eli, Ben, Matty Ice and Joe aren’t even close. That’s given your assertation that The Lombardi is not good criteria for membership. Donavan (most over-rated w/Vick) and Hasslebeck shouldn’t even be considered.
    I think without HOF numbers, playing outside the “East Coast Bias” is an automatic rejection when it comes to that club.
    As far as the HOF goes; there is a need for more members, not less. The current standards are keeping a receiver (Chris Carter) out, who may have had the best hands the game has ever seen…ridiculous!
    That Cincy/Houston match in last season’s playoffs was memorable, and I’m looking for more of the same this year.
    Colts/Ravens will be fueled with emotion on both sidelines (Pagano/return of Ray Ray), and should be close.
    You’re probably right about the Pack, but I would love to see Adrian shatter Dickerson’s playoff mark of 240 yards and heat up the frozen tundra.
    Seattle will have a tough time hanging a fifty-burger on the Skins in DC, but the Wilson/RG3 matchup brings to mind a Marino/Montana Super Bowl…should be classic.
    Great article, as is your usual M/O!
    Keep shakin’ that tree, Boss.

    This was the one awaiting moderation. You can delete the other, Stevie

    1. Steven Keys Jan 6 20132:22 pm

      Reply

      Deja vu all over again, Steven.

      Phil Rivers + Adrian Peterson + Mike Holmgren = SB.

      1. Steve Massey Jan 6 20135:29 pm

        Reply

        I hear ya, it’s 90 percent one, and the other half the other.

  4. Tyler Hetu Jan 5 20133:02 pm

    Reply

    A.P. is going to be the differential factor for the Vikes. He’s unstoppable on the ground. Although the Packers have an awful secondary, I think the running game will win it for Minnesota. Cincy will keep it close against Texas with that D-Line. I say 21-17 for Cincinnati and Texas but 21-7 for Minnesota and Green Bay.

    1. Steven Keys Jan 6 20132:25 pm

      Reply

      Well Tyler, Adrian would’ve appreciated the vote of confidence, as too would’ve Coach Lewis. It’s kind of a shaky limb I stepped out on in these Colts & Seahawks predictions. Thanks for reading and commenting.

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